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19, 2633-2646. , 1975: El Niño—The Dynamic Response of the Equatorial Pacific Oceanto Atmospheric Forcing. J. Phys. , 5, 572-584. Chapter 4 How to Trigger a Super El Niño? In this chapter, we trace the earliest signals of super El Niño and discuss how they contribute to the onset of super El Niño. We suggest that a special type of La Niña in ON(−1) leads the peak time of super El Niño for at least 13 months, and external forcings from the North Pacific in D(−1)JFM(0) precondition the tropical Pacific for the super El Niño.

Roquet, and F. Vivier, 2004: Quasi-stationary ENSO wave signals versus the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave scenario. Geophys. Res. , 31. Rousseeuw, P. , 1987: Silhouettes: A graphical aid to the interpretation and validation of cluster analysis. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 20, 53-65. , and Coauthors, 2013: Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Nino propagation asymmetry and future projections. Nature, 504, 126-130. Thompson, D. W. , and J. M. Wallace, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation.

B) (a) Fig. 6 a The second SVD mode of wind stress and SST over the central tropical Pacific during MAM(0); b corresponding normalized expansion coefficient time series of SVD2 for SST (bar) and wind stress (line) pronounced in super El Niño events, which is suggested as one of the unique features for super El Niño in Chap. 2. To recast the PMM in our framework, a SVD analysis is performed in the same vein as Chang et al. (2007). Using anomalous SST and wind stress in the MAM(0) but with filtered data as described in Chap.

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